focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well...

A reasonable day, yesterday.

There were 37 rated races,

In one of them, the top rated horse was a non-runner, leaving 36 races.

7 of those races were won by the top rated horse, which gives us a strike rate of 19.44%

In the 1:50 at Yarmouth we got the forecast - it paid £3.39

In the 2:30 at Lingfield we got the forecast - it paid £13.03

Right About Now, our top rated horse in the 3:20 st Yarmouth, won at 8.0 ISP (10.20 BSP.)

In the 5:15 at Galway, our top two rated horses came first and second - unfortunately, in the wrong order. The reverse forecast paid £28.25

In the 6:30 at Kempton our top rated horse won at 5.0 ISP (5.24 BSP.)

In the 6:45 at Galway our top rated horse won at 4.0 ISP (4.45 BSP.)

In the 7:15 at Galway, our top two rated horses came first and second - unfortunately, in the wrong order. The reverse forecast paid £24.06

In the 7:30 at Kempton, our top three rated horses came first, second and third - unfortunately, in the wrong order. The combination trifecta paid £41.40

An Update

Over the last week or so I have been looking at the Diamonds and Gold selection process and...

I believe that I've missed a trick.

You can read about the system here... Diamonds and Gold eBook

Now, I designed the system to find the blindly profitable race types based upon 2 years of historical data.

But, looking into it in more detail, I now know that I should have added in one more detail. I should have looked at the season/month of the year.

As an example, think about NH non-handicap Novice Hurdles. These give a historical strike rate of 36.76% and a POI (Profit on Investment) of 50.09% - not bad, huh?

However, if you restrict bets on these races to October to March, the strike rate and POI both shoot up.

So, over the weekend I shall be adding an extra filter to take month of the year into account. This will mean fewer selections but, more importantly, more accurate ones.

This improvement to the system will go out with the Diamonds and Gold selections but will be called something different (perhaps Sapphire selections.)

The logic is that, although non-handicap Flat Auction Stakes may have a strike rate of 33.13% (and a POI of 82.37%) over the whole year; I'd bet that most of the wins (and, the profits, of course) come between June and September. Perhaps that race type shouldn't be a valid selection for the rest of the year?

So, over the weekend I shall write another PDF that takes months of the year into account. I'll use the same core data set so as to keep things consistent. However, I'll produce one more pivot table which will show which race type are the most profitable for every month of the year. Then I'll cull out the less profitable race types.

In other words, it'll be Diamonds and Gold but, adjusted to the month of the year.

If this sounds confusing, it'll all make more sense once I've got the PDF produced and sent out to you.

Just bear in mind that I'm always analysing the results and I'm not above refining and improving the system(s) that I produce.

After all, if it makes you more money, why would I be?

Diamonds and Gold

Redcar - 14:10 - Usain Boat - 0

Lingfield - 16:00 - Barnay - 1st @ 2.375 ISP (2.62 BSP)

Something to make you smile...

Best Ever Genie Story

A Husband takes his wife to play her first game of golf. Of course, the wife promptly hacked her first shot right through the window of the biggest house adjacent to the course.

The husband cringed, 'I warned you to be careful! Now we'll have to go up there, find the owner, apologize and see how much your lousy drive is going to cost us.'

So the couple walked up to the house and knocked on the door. A warm voice said, 'Come on in.'

When they opened the door they saw the damage that was done: glass was all over the place, and a broken antique bottle was lying on its side near the pieces of window glass.

A man reclining on the couch asked, 'Are you the people that broke my window?'

'Uh...yeah! , sir. We're sure sorry about that,' the husband replied.

'Oh, no apology is necessary. Actually I want to thank you. You see, I'm a genie, and I've been trapped in that bottle for a thousand years. Now that you've released me, I'm allowed to grant three wishes. I'll give you each one wish, but if you don't mind, I'll keep the last one for my self.'

Wow, that's great!' the husband said. He pondered a moment and blurted out, 'I'd like a million dollars a year for the rest of my life.'

'No problem,' said the genie 'You've got it, it's the least I can do. And I'll guarantee you a long, healthy life!'

'And now you, young lady, what do you want?' the genie asked.

'I'd like to own a gorgeous home in every country in the world complete with servants,' she said.

'Consider it done,' the genie said. 'And your homes will always be safe from fire, burglary and natural disasters!'

'And now,' the couple asked in unison, 'what's your wish, genie?'

'Well, since I've been trapped in that bottle, and haven't been with a woman in more than a thousand years, my wish is to have sex with your wife.'

The husband looked at his wife and said, 'Gee, honey, you know we both now have a fortune, and all those houses. What do you think?'

She mulled it over for a few moments and said, 'You know, you're right. Considering our good fortune, I guess I wouldn't mind, but what about you, honey?'

You know I love you sweetheart,' said the husband. I'd do the same for you!'

So the genie and the woman went upstairs where they spent the rest of the afternoon enjoying each other.

The genie was insatiable.

After about three hours of non-stop sex, the genie rolled over and looked directly into her eyes and asked, How old are you and your husband?'

'Why, we're both 35,' she responded breathlessly.

'No Kidding,' he said.

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'Thirty-five years old and you both still believe in genies?'

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

 

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