Good morning...
As I watched the results coming in yesterday...
I noticed that we were getting quite a few top three rated winners at high prices.
We had two 6/1 top rated winners but,
Also, 6 top three rated winners of 5/1 or more.
Thus, I have started looking into ways of identifying the circumstances which generate those high priced winners.
The only thing that stands out so far is that the majority of those races where a top three rated horse wins at a high price is that RC0 (my quality of ratings metric) = 3.0
That mean that those are races where I can rate at least 88% of all runners.
That sort of makes sense to me but I do know that I have a lot more work to do.
Focus Ratings
Yesterday's Results
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.53%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05% from all 38 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 107.44 units returned to 101 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 6.38%
Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31.21 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -8.21%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.98 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 27.21%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.25 units returned to 34 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 0.73999999999999%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 12 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 16.67%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 3.96 units returned to 12 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -67%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 12 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 50%
Investment Betting
There were three Investment Betting selections yesterday...
Doncaster - 13:10 - Logician - 1st @ 1.08 ISP (1.13 BSP)
Haydock - 14:00 - Barneys Bay - 4th
Doncaster - 14:40 - Yazaman - 2nd
EarlyBird Ratings
There were two Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...
Doncaster - 13:10 - Logician - 1st @ 1.08 ISP (1.13 BSP)
Haydock - 14:00 - Barneys Bay - 4th
Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
There is a meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.
I will be rating the 10 races today.
The ratings should be available on Saturday morning.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Advance Ratings
Advance Ratings had an good day yesterday.
We got 6 top rated winners from the 35 races (taking the 3 non-runners into account.)
This equates to a strike rate of 17.14%
In the 13:40 at Doncaster our top rated horse, Spright, won at 11.0 ISP (13.04 BSP)
Spotlight Ratings
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe (4th October 2020.)
St. Ledger Stakes (Doncaster 12/09/2020.)
Irish Champion Stakes (Leopardstown 12/09/2020)
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Place Profits
There were two Place Profits selections yesterday.
Haydock - 14:00 - Barneys Bay - 4th
Chepstow - 14:20 - Il Bandito - 2nd @ 1.16
I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
Something to make you smile...
Getting Married
One Sunday morning George burst into the living room and said, "Dad! Mom! I have some great news for you! I am getting married to the most beautiful girl in town. She lives a block away and her name is Susan."
After dinner, George's dad took him aside, "Son, I have to talk with you. Look at your mother, George. She and I have been married 30 years, she's a wonderful wife and mother, but, she has never offered much excitement in the bedroom, so I used to fool around with women a lot."
"Susan is actually your half sister, and I'm afraid you can't marry her."
George was brokenhearted.
After eight months he eventually started dating girls again.
A year later he came home and very proudly announced, "Diane said yes! We're getting married in June."
Again his father insisted on another private conversation and broke the sad news. "Diane is your half sister too, George. I'm awfully sorry about this."
George was livid!
He finally decided to go to his mother with the news his father had shared.
"Dad has done so much harm. I guess I'm never going to get married," he complained. "Every time I fall in love, Dad tells me the girl is my half sister."
"Hee hee," his mother chuckled, shaking her head, "Don't pay any attention to what he says. He's not really your father."
Today
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
