Morning News – 18/09/2020

Good morning...

Whilst doing some work yesterday...

I came across an interesting angle based upon betting on the R6 top rated horse when it is the clear Forecast Favourite (using my forecast prices.)

You will need to look at the Full PDF to identify the clear Forecast Favourite.

If you do this for the following race types...

All Weather

Conditions Race (non-hc)
Listed Race (non-hc)
Maiden (non-hc)
Nursery (hc)
Selling (non-hc)

Flat

Amateur Race (hc)
Apprentice (hc)
Listed Race (non-hc)

National Hunt - Chase)

Graduation Chase (non-hc)
Listed Race (non-hc)
Maiden (non-hc)
Qualified Riders Race National Hunt - Flat

Conditional Stakes (non-hc)
Maiden (non-hc)
Pro-Am (non-hc)

National Hunt - Hurdles

Claiming (non-hc)
Conditional Stakes (hc)
Listed Race (non-hc)
Maiden (hc)
Qualified Riders Race (non-hc)

Historically (based upon 2 full years of data) you get...

Strike Rate : 79.41%
POI (to ISP): 21.15%

About 75 races a year.

Just thought I'd share.

Focus Ratings

Yesterday's Results

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20.93%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 18.18% from all 44 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 104.53 units returned to 122 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -14.32%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 27.21 units returned to 38 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -28.39%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the second rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 62.7 units returned to 43 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 45.81%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.62 units returned to 41 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -64.34%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 3 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 23.08%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.95 units returned to 13 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -31.15%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 10 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 76.92%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Yarmouth 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £4.29

Naas 15:45:00 - The CSF paid €6.76

Investment Betting

There was one Investment Betting selection yesterday...

Tramore - 15:35 - Ran Rite - 7th

EarlyBird Ratings

There was one Diamonds and Gold selection yesterday...

Tramore - 16:05 - Shes A Cracker (a diamonds and Gold selection) - 2nd

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html

Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.

I will be compiling the ratings for that meeting today.

They should be available tomorrow morning.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings had an great day yesterday.

We had 13 winners from the 46 races.

That equates to a strike rate of 28.26%

But look at some of the prices paid...

Pontefract - 13:45 - Lezardieux - 1st @ 7.0 ISP (8.93 BSP)

Ayr - 14:00 - Eclipse De Lunar - 1st @ 9.0 ISP (11.50 BSP)

Yarmouth- 15:40 - Forest Falcon - 1st @ 11.0 ISP (12.10 BSP)

Chelmsford - 16:55 - Really Super - 1st @ 8.50 ISP (11.00 BSP)

Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe (4th October 2020.)

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

Place Profits

There were no Place Profits selectiona yesterday.

I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

Click on the image to see it full size.

Something to make you smile...

Cruise

Mr. Johnson had been retired for a year when his wife of 50 years suggested they take a cruise: "We could go somewhere for a week, and make wild love like we did when we were young!"

He thought it over and agreed.

He put on his hat and went down to the pharmacy, where he bought a bottle of seasick pills and a box of condoms.

Upon returning home, his wife said, "I've been thinking. There's no reason we can't go for a month."

So Mr. Johnson went back to the pharmacy and asked for 12 bottles of seasick pills and a box of condoms.

When he returned, his wife said, "You know, since the children are on their own, what's stopping us from cruising the world?"

So back to the pharmacy Mr. Johnson went, and he brought 297 bottles of seasick pills and the same amount of condoms up to the counter.

The pharmacist finally had to ask.

"You know, Mr. Johnson, you have been doing business with me for over 30 years. I certainly don't mean to pry, but if it makes you that sick, why the hell do you do it?"