Good morning...
Yesterday I spent a bit of time looking or....
Rather re-visiting,
An idea that I was working on earlier in the year.
I don't know if you remember but, last February, I was working (and waffling about) on a scheme to try to predict in which races our top two rated horses would get the forecast.
Well, I didn't really get anywhere with that and then, in March, racing was closed down.
The whole idea was to look at those races where the 3rd rated horse was rated far lower than the top two rated horses.
Although I didn't get anywhere with my plan to help predict the forecast, I decided to take another look to see how well similar circumstances would work to help predict the winners, either by backing one of the top two rated horses or even, dutching both.
It also may come up with some ideas to help predict the place for place backing.
I'll let you know how I get on.
Focus Ratings
Yesterday's Results
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.3%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.56%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.21% from all 39 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 87.35 units returned to 98 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -10.87%
Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.02 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -9.03%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.5 units returned to 34 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 13.24%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.83 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -39.26%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 42.86%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.02 units returned to 14 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 21.57%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 10 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 71.43%
Forecasts
There were 4 forecasts yesterday.
Ludlow 12:20:00 - The CSF paid £2.67
Ludlow 13:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.13
Lingfield (AW) 13:35:00 - The CSF paid £21.81
Newbury 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £2.19
Reverse Forecasts
There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Lingfield (AW) 11:30:00 - The CSF paid £62.54
Lingfield (AW) 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £31.40
Kempton (AW) 16:00:00 - The CSF paid **.**
Trifectas
There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Ludlow 12:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.30
Newbury 13:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.70
Investment Betting
There were four Investment Betting selections yesterday...
Ludlow - 13:20 - Misty Whisky - 1st @ 2.20 ISP (2.32 BSP)
Newbury - 13:45 - Magic Of Light - 1st @ 1.50 ISP (1.58 BSP)
Newbury - 14:20 - Sizable Sam - NR
Dundalk - 16:45 - Let Me Pass - 4th
EarlyBird Ratings
There two Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...
Ludlow - 12:20 - Faivoir - 1st @ 1.66 ISP (1.77 BSP)
Newbury - 14:20 - Sizable Sam - NR
Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
There is a meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.
I will be compiling the ratings for those this afternoon.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Advance Ratings
Advance Ratings had an great day yesterday.
12.20 - Ludlow - Faivoir 1st @ 1.66 ISP (1.77 BSP)
1.20 - Ludlow - Misty Whisky - 1st @ 2.20 ISP (2.32 BSP)
1.45 - Newbury - Magic Of Light - 1st @ 1.50 ISP (1.58 BSP)
2.20 - Newbury - Sizable Sam - NR
3.20 - Lingfield - My Girl Maggie - 3rd
3.30 - Newbury - Call Me Tara - 3rd
3.40 - Ludlow - Le Bateau - 1st @ 3.25 ISP (3.41 BSP)
Spotlight Ratings
Win 10 minsp= maxsp= sptype=SP
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
31st October 2020 – Down Royal (IRE) – 14:25 – Ladbrooks Champion Chase – Grade 1
1st November 2020 – Naas (IRE) – 14:35 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Athasi Stakes – Group 3
3rd November 2020 – Flemmington (AUS) – 16:00 – Lexus Melbourne Cup – Group 1
22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1
23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Place Profits
Standard System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Newbury - 14:20 - Sizable Sam - NR
Kempton - 16:00 - Touchwood - 2nd @ 1.15
Standard System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Kempton - 16:00 - Touchwood - 2nd @ 1.15
New System
There are no selections today.
I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
Something to make you smile...
Two Men in a Lifeboat...
Two men were adrift in a lifeboat following a dramatic escape from a burning freight vessel.
While rummaging through the boat's provisions, one of the men stumbled across an old lamp.
Secretly hoping that a Genie would appear, he rubbed the lamp vigorously.
To the amazement of the castaways, one did come forth.
This particular Genie, however, stated that he could only deliver one wish, not the standard three.
Without giving much thought to the matter the man blurted out, "Make the entire ocean into beer!"
Immediately the Genie clapped his hands with a deafening crash, and the entire sea turned into the finest brew ever sampled by mortals.
Simultaneously, the Genie vanished to his freedom.
Only the gentle lapping of beer on the hull broke the stillness as the two men considered their circumstances.
The other man looked disgustedly at the one whose wish had been granted.
After a long, tension-filled moment, he spoke: "Nice going! Now we're going to have to pee in the boat."
Today
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
