Good morning...
I want to share...
One of the things that came up yesterday when I was doing some work on background statistics.
For Focus Ratings R6 ratings, Dundalk is blindly profitable out of the box for non-handicap races.
However...
If you restrict yourself to races with 5, 6,7 or 17 runners,
You get,
A Strike Rate of 47.01% and
A Profit on Investment (to ISP) of 63.21%
You'll get about 1 race a week.
Just thought I'd share.
Focus Ratings
Yesterday's Results
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.77%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.55%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.89% from all 45 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 98.88 units returned to 119 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.91%
Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.58 units returned to 39 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 6.62%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.5 units returned to 38 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -51.32%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.8 units returned to 42 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -7.62%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 12 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 33.33%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.25 units returned to 12 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -22.92%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 12 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 66.67%
Forecasts
There were 4 forecasts yesterday.
Thirsk 13:00:00 - The CSF paid £13.03
Bath 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £4.08
Bath 15:05:00 - The CSF paid £4.91
Thirsk 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £1.15
Investment Betting
There were three Investment Betting selections yesterday...
Thirsk - 13:00 - Just Frank - 1st @ 4.20 ISP (5.04 BSP)
Bath - 14:30 - The Kodi Kid - 1st @ 2.20 ISP (2.30 BSP)
Sligo - 15:50 - Jerandme - 1st @ 1.66 ISP (1.86 BSP)
EarlyBird Ratings
There were six Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...
Thirsk - 13:00 - Just Frank (a Diamonds and Gold selection) - 1st @ 4.20 ISP (5.04 BSP)
Bath - 14:30 - The Kodi Kid (a Diamonds and Gold selection) - 1st @ 2.20 ISP (2.30 BSP)
Sligo - 15:50 - Aasleagh Dawn (a Diamonds and Gold selection) - 5th
Wolverhampton - 16:40 - The Mousen Champ (a Gold selection) - 2nd
Lingfield - 16:55 - Pioneering (a Diamonds and Gold selection) - 1st @ 5.0 ISP (5.50 BSP)
Wolverhampton - 17:15 - State Occasion (a Gold selection) - 2nd
Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
I have started the ratings for tomorrow's meeting at Happy Valley.
They should be available sometime this afternoon.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Advance Ratings
Advance Ratings had an good day yesterday.
We got 14 top rated winners from the 42 races (taking the 3 non-runners into account.)
This equates to a strike rate of 33.33%
Spotlight Ratings
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe (4th October 2020.)
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Place Profits
There were three Place Profits selections yesterday.
Bath - 14:30 - The Kodi Kid - 1st @ 1.50
Thirsk - 15:45 - Lady G - 1st @ 1.04
Bath - 17:40 - Moomba - 2nd @ 1.09
I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
Something to make you smile...
50 Dollars
Morris and his wife Esther went to the state fair every year, and every year Morris would say, "Esther, I'd like to ride in that helicopter".
Esther always replied, "I know Morris, but that helicopter ride is 50 dollars and 50 dollars is 50 dollars".
One year Esther and Morris went to the fair, and Morris said, "Esther, I'm 85 years old. If I don't ride that helicopter, I might never get another
chance."Esther replied, "Morris that helicopter is 50 dollars and 50 dollars is 50 dollars".
The pilot overheard the couple and said, "Folks I'll make you a deal. I'll take the both of you for a ride. If you can stay quiet for the entire ride and not say a word I won't charge you! But if you say one word, it's 50 dollars."
Morris and Esther agreed and up they went.
The pilot did all kinds of fancy maneuvers, but not a word was heard.
He did his daredevil tricks over and over again, but still not a word.
When they landed, the pilot turned to Morris and said, "By golly, I did everything I could to get you to yell out, but you didn't. I'm impressed!"
Morris replied, "Well, to tell you the truth, I almost said something when Esther fell out, but you know... 50 dollars is 50 dollars".
Today
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
