Good morning...
I'm certainly feeling very refreshed after a weekend off.
So...
Back to work on the new Builder.
However, I did sort of trip over something during the weekend.
I need to do some decent analysis but...
We all seem to think about how good the top rated horse is but,
I decided to take a look at the third rated horse.
And, just from a very casual review,
It would seem that, in races where the third rated horse has a confidence of 50% or less...
Either the top rated or second rated horse always wins.
Obviously, it was my weekend off so I didn't want to get into all the detailed analysis too much but,
At some point this week I shall do a, from the ground up, test of this theory.
Focus Ratings
Yesterday's Results
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.62%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.73% from all 37 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 56.67 units returned to 77 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -26.4%
Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.88 units returned to 26 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.08%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.79 units returned to 27 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -34.11%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 24 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10 units returned to 24 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -58.33%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 15 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 33.33%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.66 units returned to 15 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -28.93%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 15 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 9 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 60%
Forecasts
There were 3 forecasts yesterday.
Huntingdon 12:48:00 - The CSF paid £11.23
Naas 14:00:00 - The CSF paid €9.69
Naas 15:05:00 - The CSF paid €24.79
Investment Betting
There were six Investment Betting selections yesterday...
Huntingdon - 12:45 - Orchestral Rain - 1st @ 3.0 ISP (3.10 BSP)
Carlisle - 13:05 - Global Fame - 3rd
Naas - 13:30 - Laughifuwant - 11th
Carlisle - 14:40 - Imperial Aura - 1st @ 2.75 ISP (2.89 BSP)
Cork - 14:46 - Trainwreck - 8th
Carlisle - 16:15 - Onward Route - 2nd
EarlyBird Ratings
There were four Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...
Lingfield - 12:55 - Loughan - AB
Carlisle - 13:05 - Global Fame - 3rd
Cork - 14:15 - Goodbye Someday - 3rd
Cork - 16:25 - Powerful Out - 2nd
Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
There is a meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday.
The ratings for that meeting will be available tomorrow.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Advance Ratings
Advance Ratings had an good day yesterday.
12.15 - Huntingdon - Chef De Troupe - 1st @ 2.0 ISP (2.34 BSP)
12.55 - Lingfield - Dubai Guest - AB
1.05 - Carlisle - Global Fame - 3rd
1.18 - Huntingdon - Perfect Myth - 1st @ 2.50 ISP (2.69 BSP)
1.49 Huntingdon - Espoir De Romay - 1st @ 1.73 ISP (1.76 BSP)
2.15 - Cork - Young Ted - 4th
2.40 - Carlisle - Imperial Aura - 1st @ 2.75 ISP (2.89 BSP)
2.46 - Cork - Trainwreck - 8th
4.15 - Carlisle - Onward Route - 2nd
Spotlight Ratings
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
31st October 2020 – Down Royal (IRE) – 14:25 – Ladbrooks Champion Chase – Grade 1
1st November 2020 – Naas (IRE) – 14:35 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Athasi Stakes – Group 3
3rd November 2020 – Flemmington (AUS) – 16:00 – Lexus Melbourne Cup – Group 1
22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1
23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Place Profits
Standard System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Huntingdon - 12:15 - Chef De Troupe - 1st @ 1.23
Carlisle - 13:05 - Global Fame - 3rd @ 1.29
Standard System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Huntingdon - 12:15 - Chef De Troupe - 1st @ 1.23
Carlisle - 13:05 - Global Fame - 3rd @ 1.29
New System
No selections.
I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
Something to make you smile...
Ten Years...
One day a man, who had been stranded on a desert island for over ten years sees an unusual speck on the horizon.
"It's certainly not a ship", he thinks to himself.
As the speck gets closer and closer he begins to rule out the possibilities of a small boat, then even a raft.
Suddenly, emerging from the surf, comes a drop dead gorgeous blonde woman wearing a wet suit and scuba gear.
She approaches the stunned guy and says: "Tell me, how long has it been since you've had a cigarette?"
"Ten years," replies the stunned man.
With that she reaches over and unzips a waterproof pocket on her left sleeve and pulls out a pack of cigarettes.
He takes one, lights it, takes a long drag and says: "Man, oh man! Is that good!"
"And how long has it been since you've had a sip of bourbon?" she asks him.
Trembling the castaway replies: "Ten years."
She reaches over, unzips her right sleeve, pulls out a flask and hands it to him.
He opens the flask, takes a long swig and says: "WOW, that's absolutely fantastic!"
At this point she starts slowly unzipping the long zipper that runs down the front of her wet suit, looks at the man seductively, and asks: "And how long has it been since you've had some real fun?"
With tears in his eyes, the guy falls to his knees and sobs: "Oh good Lord! Don't tell me you've got a laptop?"
2020 Travel Guides...
Today
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
